Rendi dzakakwirira ndicho chikonzero nei inflation isiri kudzika?A new round of interest rate inokwira yambiro!
10/21/2022
Sei inflation isati yadzika?
NeChina chapfuura, Bureau yeLabour Statistics yakaburitsa data yaGunyana CPI.
CPI yakasimuka 8.2% gore negore munaSeptember, ichienzaniswa ne8.3% kare, uye 8.1% inotarisirwa nemusika;core inflation CPI yakasimuka 6.6% gore negore, zvichienzaniswa ne6.3% kare.
Headline inflation CPI yadonha kubva payakakwira muna Chikumi gore rino, zvakanyanya nekuda kwekuderera kwemitengo yemagetsi, kunyanya peturu, asiwo nekudzikira zvishoma nezvishoma mukukwira kwemitengo yezvinhu.
Zvinoshamisa, zvisinei, core inflation CPI yasvika kune itsva 40-year high, ichikwira kwemwedzi miviri yakatevedzana.
Chinhu chikuru chinosimudzira core inflation CPI inflation yedzimba, iyo yasvika 6.6% gore negore, iyo yepamusoro-soro kubva pakatanga marekodhi, uye inflation yekurenda, iyo yakasvikawo rekodhi yepamusoro ye7.2%.
Marendi arikukwidza sei inflation?
Mushure medenda ra2020, musika wezvivakwa wakatanga "kutenderera kupenga" nekuda kwekuderera kwakanyanya mubereko, kudiwa kwekufonera, uye mafungu ekutenga dzimba neMireniyamu.- Pakutanga kwegore rino, mitengo yezvivakwa yakakwira nepamusoro pe20%.
Kunyangwe mitengo yedzimba isingabatanidzwe mukuverenga kweCPI, kukwira kwemitengo yedzimba kwakwidza mitengo yekurenda, uye huremu hwekukwira kwemitengo muCPI hunodarika 30%, saka mitengo yekurenda inoramba ichikwira uye yave iyo huru " trigger” yekukwira kwemitengo kwazvino.
Pamusoro pezvo, mwero wembandi wakada ku“peta” gore negore semugumisiro wemutemo weFederal Reserve wekukwira kwemitengo, uye kukwirisa kwemitengo yezvivakwa iri kuratidza zviratidzo zvekutanga zvekuchinja.
Parizvino, vatengi vazhinji vari kusarudza kutora nzira yekumirira-uye-kuona nekuda kwekukwira kwemitengo yekukwereta;mitengo yedzimba yadzikira munzvimbo dzakawanda, uye vazhinji vangangove vatengesi havakurumidzi kutengesa dzimba dzavo, izvo zvakatungamira kune misika ine usimbe yezvivakwa.
Kana vanhu vashoma vanotenga dzimba, vanhu vazhinji vanodzirenda, vachiwedzera kukwidza rendi.
Kukwira kwemarendi kunogona kunge kuri kukwira!
Zvinoenderana neWatch Rent Index yakaburitswa neZillow, kukura kwerendi kwave kuderera kwemwedzi yakati wandei.
Zvakadaro, zvakadaro, indekisi yerendi iyi inotangira kurojesa dzimba paCPI nemwedzi mitanhatu.
Izvi zvinodaro nekuti Zillow inongotarisa mitengo yemarendi matsva akasainwa mumwedzi wazvino kana uchitarisa index yerendi, nepo vagari vazhinji vachisaina marendi egore rimwechete kana maviri pamutengo wakatarwa wepamwedzi, saka nhamba dzeCPI dzinosanganisirawo huwandu hwekurenda. akatosaina kare.
Pane kusarira pakati pemarendi emusika azvino uye zvinobhadharwa nevanoroja, ndosaka Bureau yeLabour Statistics ichiramba ichitaura kukwira kwemitengo yedzimba.
Zvichienderana neruzivo, chiyero chekukura kwerendi dzekugara muCPI ichatanga kuderera muchikamu chechina chegore rino.
Nekukwira kwemitengo yerendi kunorema pamusoro pe30% muCPI, kunonoka kukura kwerendi kuchave kwakakosha kuunza core inflation pasi.
Yambiro itsva yekukwira kwemitengo yemari
Sezvo CPI inoratidza kuti inflation ichiri kupisa zvakanyanya, izvi zvinosimbisawo tarisiro yeimwe 75 bps chiyero chekukwira munaNovember (pedyo ne100%);pane kunyange fungidziro yeimwe 75 bps rate yekukwira muna Zvita (iyo inotarisirwa kunge yakakwira se69%).
Mufananidzo: https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
Musi waSeptember 12th, Fed yakabudisa maminetsi emusangano weSeptember, iyo inoratidza chinhu chimwe chete chinokosha - Fed inowanzoita kukwidza mazinga ekugadzirisa hupfumi munguva pfupi (iyi nhanho yekudzivirira inofanira kuva pamusoro pe4%).iyo inotsanangura chaizvo chikonzero nei Fed ichida kukwidza mitengo zvine hutsinye mukutevedzana.
Mune mamwe mazwi, Fed ichasimudza mazinga zvakanyanya neinenge imwe 125 mapoinzi (75bp + 50bp) gore risati rapera uyezve kuchengetedza iyi nhanho yemitengo kwenguva yakati gore rinouya.
Mufananidzo zvikwereti.https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms
Mufananidzo kunobva: CNBC
Enda kuChina, Freddie Mac achangobva kuziviswa makore makumi matatu yakatarwa mwero wakakwira kusvika pa6.92%, danho rayo repamusoro kubva muna 2002, uye makore gumi ehoho rehomwe yeTreasury yakapazawo kiyi 4%.
Yun, mukuru wezvehupfumi weNational Association of Realtors (NAR), akati maererano nekuongorora kwehunyanzvi, kuramba kunotevera kuchave 8.5% kana mareti emubereko wemba adarika pachikumbaridzo che7%.
Nekukwira kutsva kwemareti pakatarisana, zvine hungwaru kutora mukana wehwindo remukana uye kubata wako wechikwereti nekukurumidza kuti uvhare mumitengo ichiri yakaderera.
Chirevo: Ichi chinyorwa chakagadziridzwa neAAA LENDIS;mamwe emifananidzo akatorwa kubva kuInternet, nzvimbo yesaiti haina kumiririrwa uye haigone kudhindwa zvakare pasina mvumo.Pane njodzi mumusika uye mari inofanira kungwarira.Ichi chinyorwa hachiumbe zano rekudyara wega, uye haritarise zvinangwa zvekudyara, mamiriro emari kana zvinodiwa zvevashandisi vega.Vashandisi vanofanirwa kufunga kuti chero maonero, maonero kana mhedziso dzirimo dzirimo dzakaenderana nemamiriro avo ezvinhu.Isai mari zvinoenderana nenjodzi yenyu.
Nguva yekutumira: Oct-22-2022