Usambofa Wakamboedza Kupokana neFederal Reserve
08/13/2022
Iyo yazvino data kubva kuDhipatimendi reBasa yakaratidza kusashanda kwepurazi kwakawedzera ne528,000 muna Chikunguru, iyo iri nani zvakanyanya kupfuura zvinotarisirwa zvemusika zve250,000.Uye huwandu hwekushaikwa kwemabasa hwakadzika kusvika pa3.5%, vachidzokera kune pre-denda muna Kukadzi 2020.
(Kubva kuCNBC)
Inoratidzika kunge yakanaka yakamira data yaive yakarova musika, iyo yakanga yarasikirwa nekurwa kwayo neFederal Reserve.
Chii chakaitwa naMusika kuramba?
Kubva gore rapfuura, Fed yakakanganisa kaviri mumutsara, kutanga nekurerutsa kuenderera kweinflation uyezve nekuwedzeredza kugona kwayo kuidzikisa pasi nemitengo yakakwira yemubereko.
Pakupera kwegore rapera, Powell akanga achiri kusimbisa kuti inflation yakakwirira yaiva yenguva pfupi.
Misika iri kuramba ichifunga kuti Fed inogona kunge ichiita chikanganiso chechitatu - ichivimba zvakanyanya nebasa seyero yehupfumi uye kurerutsa nguva yekuderera kwehupfumi.
Pamberi peChina chapfuura (Nyamavhuvhu 4, 2022), vakuru vakuru veFed vatanhatu vakapa hurukuro dze "Hawkish" panguva dzakasiyana, vachitumira meseji yakajeka kumisika "isingarerutse simba rekurwa kweFed nekukwira kwemitengo".
Iwo akatevedzana ehurukuro dzakabatana anoitirwa kunyevera misika kuti irege kuva vanyengeri neFed.
Chinhu chinonakidza ndechekuti misika yave isingazungunuswi nehurukuro uye vari kutanga kubheja kuti Fed icha "Ipa mukati" munguva pfupi yakatarisana nenjodzi dzekuderera kwehupfumi uye kuvhura nzira yekusimbisa, nepo kufanotaura kuchave nekuderera kwehuwandu hwekukwira. pakangosvika musangano waGunyana.
Mamiriro ezvinhu anoita seachitendeukira ku "Fed haide kurwisa misika" kubva "kusarwa neFed" zvishoma nezvishoma.
Pasi pekutungamira kwetarisiro iyi, masheya akatanga kukwira uye goho remusungo rakatanga kuderera.Misika iri kuita zvisingaenderane nemharidzo yeFed, uye neimwe nzira inopesana neFed - mutongi wekupedzisira achave data rehupfumi.
Fed inokunda.
Pasinei nechero data data musika unotanga kudzoka kuchokwadi naChikunguru isiri-yepurazi data yakaburitswa.
(Mabviro kubva online)
Pamusoro peizvi, huwandu hwemabasa akawedzerwa muna Chivabvu naChikumi hwakadzokororwa zviuru makumi maviri nezvisere kupfuura zvakambotaurwa, zvichiratidza kuti kudiwa kwevashandi kunoramba kwakasimba uye kudzikisa zvakanyanya kutya kwekuderera kwehupfumi.
Pakazere, musika wevashandi unopisa wakajekesa nzira yekuti Fed ichengetedze nzira yayo yehasha yekukwira.
Mushure mekunge Fed yatumira chiratidzo chayo chekusimbisa chakasimba mumakumi emakore, musika wakaenda kune bhizinesi rayo semazuva ese, uchitobatsira musika wemasheya kuratidza kushanda kwavo kwakanyanya mumakore achangopfuura.
Kumisika zvisingatarisirwi, payakatanga kubheja pakuchinja kweFed policy, kusundidzira masheya kumusoro uye Treasury goho rakaderera, kudiwa kwakawanda kwakasimudzirwa, kurerutsa njodzi yekudzikira uye kukanganisa kuedza kweFed kudzora inflation panguva imwe chete.
Kutevera mushumo wakabudiswa, mukana wekukwira kwe75 bp kuFed ' Musangano waGunyana wakakwira kusvika pa68%, yakakwira zvakanyanya kudarika mukana wekukwira kwe50 bp sezvakafanotaurwa.(CME FedWatch Tool)
Idzo dzisiri dzepurazi data dzakadzora musika wakanyanya-tarisiro - tarisiro yekuwedzera mwero yakakwira mukutendeuka kunoshamisa kwakasimbisa iyo Wall Street mantra kusamboedza kupokana neFed.
Ndiani Akarasisa Misika?
Sezvatakataura muzvinyorwa zvakapfuura, mutemo weFed wanga uchitsvaga chiyero pakati pe "inflation" uye "huwandu hwekushaya basa".
Zviri pachena kuti Fed yakasarudza "kudzora inflation ngozi" pane "kupira hupfumi".Mhedzisiro ichave yekupira hupfumi, kunyangwe kune imwe nhanho.
Chatinoda kuziva ndechekuti Fed ichafanirwa kufamba nekukurumidza munzira yekusimbisa isati inflation isati yadzokera kune iyo yakakodzera chinzvimbo.
Iyo Fed inogona kunge iri padanho rekusimudza mubereko ne75 bp munaGunyana.Zvino ngatitarisirei kunotevera kuita kweCPI.
Chirevo: Ichi chinyorwa chakagadziridzwa neAAA LENDIS;mamwe emifananidzo akatorwa kubva kuInternet, nzvimbo yesaiti haina kumiririrwa uye haigone kudhindwa zvakare pasina mvumo.Pane njodzi mumusika uye mari inofanira kungwarira.Ichi chinyorwa hachiumbe zano rekudyara wega, uye haritarise zvinangwa zvekudyara, mamiriro emari kana zvinodiwa zvevashandisi vega.Vashandisi vanofanirwa kufunga kuti chero maonero, maonero kana mhedziso dzirimo dzirimo dzakaenderana nemamiriro avo ezvinhu.Isai mari zvinoenderana nenjodzi yenyu.
Nguva yekutumira: Aug-13-2022