Iyo nyika inotambira, Qatar, ine mamiriro ekunze emugwenga anopisa ane tembiricha yakanyanya muna Chikumi naChikunguru uye inotonhorera avhareji tembiricha munaNovember, zvichiita kuti ive yakakodzera kune inonetsa mitambo yekunze.

Pamitambo yese, Mukombe weNyika uye misika yezvemari ndiyo yakanyatsobatanidzwa.Ikozvino World Cup yave kuda kuvhurwa, asi vazhinji vanoisa mari vari mafeni havatombofari nazvo.

Izvi zvinodaro nekuti "Chituko cheWorld Cup" chiri kutenderera pamusika chinogona kuuya zvakare - panguva yeNdebe yeNyika, misika yemari inowanzoita zvisina kunaka.

Kunyangwe kutukwa kwacho kwakabva pakubatana pakati penhabvu neUS stocks, nhoroondo yenhoroondo inoratidza kuti misika yepasi rose yakakwira katatu chete mumakore gumi nemana eWorld Cups, paine mukana unoshamisa we78.57% wekuve pasi.

Uye mushure meMukombe weNyika wega wega, misika yepasirese "saona" inosangana nedambudziko guru.

Semuenzaniso, kuparara kwemusika wemasheya muna 1986, kuderera kwehupfumi kweUS muna 1990, dambudziko rezvemari rekuAsia ra1998, uye kuputika kweInternet kwa2002.

Economist Dario Perkins akatoburitsa chati ye "Panic Index" kuratidza kubatana: Munguva yeNdebe yeNyika, VIX inowanzosimuka.

Iyo VIX index inozivikanwawo sepanic index yeUS stocks.Iyo yakakwirira iyo index, yakasimba iyo kutya mumusika.

Data source: Lombard Street Research, London-based macroeconomic forecasting consultant

Kutarisa pachati kunoratidza kuti VIX inowanzoita spike pazuva rekutanga reWorld Cup.

Saka iyo inoratidzika kunge yemetaphysical "World Cup kutuka", yakavimbika zvechokwadi?

Sayenzi kana "metaphysics"?

Sekureva kwaBloomberg, chikonzero chakanyanya kukonzeresa nei misika yepasirese ichiwira pachiratidzo chekutanga cheWorld Cup ndechekuti nhamba huru yevagovani nevatengesi vanofarira nhabvu vateveri uye vanokanganiswa neWorld Cup.

Munguva yeNdebe yeNyika, huwandu hwekutengeserana kwepasi rose hwakadzika kusvika pamwero wakati - vatengesi vakatiza kunoona mutambo kana kunonoka kurara, zvichikonzera kuderera kukuru kwekutengesa.

Zvinoenderana nenhamba, vanhu vanosvika bhiriyoni 3.5 vakatarisa 2018 World Cup muRussia, vachiverengera inenge hafu yevanhu vepasirese, kunyanya nekuti nguva yemutambo inoiswa mumaawa ekutengesa muEurope neUnited States, saka kukanganisa kwehuwandu hwekutengesa. mumisika inonyanya kukosha.

Pamusoro pezvo, panguva yeNdebe yeNyika, kune nzvimbo imwe chete inonakidza kupfuura musika wemasheya, uye ndiyo zvitoro zvekubheja zvepasirese.

Sezvo chikumbaridzo chakanyanya kuderera uye mhedzisiro inowanikwa muawa imwe kana maviri, kutora chikamu kweruzhinji kwakakwira zvakanyanya, izvo zvakakonzera kutsauswa kwekudyara mari.

Munguva ye2018 FIFA World Cup muRussia, vanopfuura mazana mashanu nemakumi mashanu evashandisi vekubheja pasi rese vakaburitsa mari inoshamisa ye136 bhiriyoni euros.

Nokudaro, "kutuka kweNyika Cup" haisi dzidziso isina chinhu, kunyanya nemafungiro munhau mushure mekugamuchirwa kwevanhu, uye zvishoma nezvishoma kuva pfungwa yepfungwa, iyo inonyanya kuwedzera kukanganisa kwemusika.

Ichatorawo musika wemabhondi here?

Ngatitarisei maitiro ekuburitswa kwegoho remabhondi eUS mumakore gumi apfuura mumaNdebe eNyika apfuura - goho rekuvhara kwema bond eUS makore gumi kazhinji rakaderera pane goho rekutanga.

Musiyano uripo pakati pezuva rekuvhara nezuva rekuvhura unobereka pamakore gumi emabhondi eUS panguva dzeWorld Cups dzakapfuura

Data source: Wind

Izvi zvinokonzerwawo nekuchinja kwekuisa mari mushure mekunge mutambo watanga uye imwe mari ichabuda mumusika webhondi;uye sezvo makwikwi anoswedera pedyo, kutengesa vhoriyamu zvishoma nezvishoma uye bhondi mitengo inoderera.

Pamusoro pezvo, makore gumi emari yemabhondi ekuAmerica akanyanya kudzikira mumwedzi unotevera kupera kwemakwikwi eWorld Cup apfuura.

Makore gumi emabhondi eUS ari kuunza goho mumazuva makumi matatu zvichitevera kupera kweWorld Cup yadarika

Data source: Wind

Kana iyi pateni ikasimbiswa zvakare, saka zvinokwanisika kuti mari dzembavha dzichateverawo maitiro eUS 10-gore bond uye kuwana kumwe kudhonzwa.

Kunyangwe hazvo zvakaoma kudzoreredza kukwira kwemitengo munguva pfupi yakatarisana neiyo Fed yekuenderera mberi kwehasha kukwira, Mukombe weNyika zvechokwadi uchave nekukanganisa pamusika, kunyangwe zvingangoita zvishoma nezvishoma.

Chekupedzisira, tinoshuvira vateveri vedu neshamwari mafaro akawanda paWorld Cup ino!